1993 Election All Over Again?

Jim Elve wrote a good post at Blogs Canada outlining new polls from the Strategic Counsel for CTV and The Globe and Mail:

When asked how respondents would vote today, the Liberals showed a significant drop since Dion first won his party's leadership race (percentage-point change from a Dec. 3 poll in brackets):

Liberals: 29 per cent (- 8)
Conservatives: 34 per cent (+ 3)
NDP: 14 per cent (none)
Bloc Quebecois: 11 per cent (none)
Green Party: 12 per cent (+ 5)
(Full article)

His article prompted me to respond as such:

Remember 1993... is the next election all playing out like some perverse reverse image of it:

1. Doesn't Dion kind of remind you of Kim Campbell in terms of perceived weak character, lack of leadership, etc? Will we see him nude in the Toronto Star?

2. Much like the Bloc and Reform fractured the PC vote... the Greens and NDP are fracturing the Liberal vote.

3. The Greens definitely represent the Reform from 1993... a one issue party. Now the real question is will we get the Green equivalent of the late election Reform melt-down so-con comment? Some sort of late in the game eco-terrorist comment???

4. Do you remember how nobody really trusted Cretchien, but they felt they had no other choice with Kim Campbell and Preston Manning as the other two candidates? Is that Harper now with Dion and Layton?

5. There is one change... the federal NDP isn't hopelessly paralyzed by Bob Rae's Ontario provincial government!

6. How do you differentiate Dion, May and Layton? Aren't they all the same to the average voter... green, socialism lite and progressive?

7. Do you think all the past Liberal stalwarts that were ballied around as competition to Paul Martin are kicking themselves for not hanging around... Alan Rock, John Manley, etc? Isn't that kind of like Joe Clark not getting in after Mulroney?

Anyways, I'm calling for a CPC majority if the election occurs in the next 4 to 6 months.